Monday, January 17, 2022

Damned Lies and Statistics

This pandemic will never end and here is why:


 

 
3/ a secondary observation is that, in younger age groups, number of new hospitalizations among unvax is pretty similar to number of new hospitalizations among vax, even though population of unvax is much smaller. This is consistent with primary messaging from governments. 
 
4/ but the pressure on hospitals, according to this data, is NOT arising from excess hospitalizations among unvax young people. If they were hospitalized in same proportion as vax young people, there would only be relatively small reduction in hospitalizations. 
 
5/ the pressure on Quebec hospitals is coming from a different direction: fully vax 60+ seniors and especially 80+ seniors. 
 
6/ Original vaccination of seniors was given urgent priority by Quebec and other govts and was VERY successful in mitigating hospitalizations and deaths in early waves. Seniors enthusiastically got vaccinated with Ontario 80+ over 99.99% fully vax. 
 
7/ according to Quebec data, the primary operating problem for hospitals is the rapid and unexpected influx of fully vax seniors, not unvax young people. 
 
8/ but rather than face this problem squarely and objectively, Trudeau and the "liberal" media focus entirely on condemnation of young unvax. No mention anywhere of hospital pressure from fully vax seniors. Not even on Science Table horizon. 
 
Similar numbers in Ontario:
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Elliott announced 3,220 people are currently hospitalized with COVID-19. Of those patients, 54% were admitted for COVID-19 and 46% came in for other reasons but tested positive for the virus upon being admitted to hospital. 

Of the people in the ICU, Elliott said 83% were admitted for COVID-19 and 17% came in for other reasons but tested positive on admittance. 

 

Why bother explaining those numbers, right?
 
 
 

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau commented on Quebec's announcement about an upcoming "health contribution" payment for unvaccinated adults.
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A Liberal MP who works as a medical doctor says he's in favour of making unvaccinated Canadians pay some kind of a special tax — and he believes others in his party agree.

"We already have taxes on tobacco. We have taxes on alcohol, which are there for similar reasons because people who consume those products are more likely to end up in the hospital," said MP Marcus Powlowski in a panel discussion with fellow MPs airing Saturday on CBC's The House. "And as a result, we're all going to have to pay for their hospitalization."

 

Broke and immoral governments are looking for ways to line their dwindling printed money supply.

Look at the graph above. The "vaccinated" are more of a threat to the healthy and the precious healthcare institution too big to fail than people who don't trust that dubious flu shot.

At least they will try to find money to bury you.

 

And - why isn't O'Toole doing this?:

“This government overreach is the direct result of Trudeau’s hateful demagoguery, targeting a minority to divide and distract from his own failures,” Conservative MP Pierre Poilievre said in a tweet on Thursday.

Poilievre referenced a video clip that had resurfaced of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau demonizing Canadians who haven’t taken the COVID shots as “misogynists and racists.” Trudeau’s comments have been condemned internationally.

 


If you can't tax them (yet), demonise them:

If you are an adult Canadian who has not received a dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, you are barred from virtually all forms of government employment. By federal mandate, hundreds of unvaccinated police officers, health-care workers, bus drivers and firefighters were placed onto unpaid leave just before Christmas and are explicitly barred from collecting Employment Insurance.

You have been shut out from whole realms of civil society. You can’t board a commercial flight or a passenger train. In most provinces, you’re not allowed inside restaurants, gyms, movie theatres or swimming pools. In Quebec, you just got banned from government liquor stores.

And through it all, you’ve attracted a level of public scorn that in normal times would typically be reserved only for terrorists and violent criminals. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called you a “racist” and “misogynist” in a September TV interview. Quebec Premier François Legault called you a “burden” on the health system deserving of punishment . National op-eds are calling for you to be turned away at the hospital’s front doors if you get sick.

Two years into the COVID-19 pandemic, one the most unexpected consequences is how quickly Canada became comfortable with the idea of marginalizing millions of people over the issue of whether to accept a government recommended health treatment. As increasingly strict measures threaten to entrench a new unvaccinated underclass, critics are warning that we didn’t even bother to learn who those unvaccinated are. ...

A Maru Public Opinion poll this week found that 60 per cent of Canadians favoured a punitive tax on the unvaccinated. In November, just as the first unvaccinated Canadians began to lose their jobs, an Angus Reid Institute poll found that 70 per cent of the country was glad to see them go.

 

This is Canada.

Now one understands why the St. Louis was turned away.




Many provinces have imposed restrictions in response to surging COVID-19 cases, but none have confirmed whether they have evaluated the success of these policies based on data and evidence from previous lockdowns in Canada.

The Epoch Times asked all 13 provinces and territories as well as the federal government whether they have done any assessment of the costs and benefits of their various measures, such as closing down businesses, during the previous waves of the pandemic in order to inform current policy-making amid Omicron and future waves.

Every jurisdiction either responded with unrelated comments or didn’t respond at all. ...

David Redman, a former executive director of the Alberta Emergency Management Agency, told The Epoch Times he has seen no evidence that governments in Canada have performed such evaluations, despite many places across the country now entering year three of the pandemic with new restrictions.

“There has never been, by any province or territory in Canada, to the best of my knowledge, a cost-benefit analysis or an advantage-and-disadvantages versus options open study done to justify in any way the use of NPIs [non-pharmaceutical interventions],” said Redman, who is also a retired lieutenant-colonel in the Canadian Armed Forces.

 
Also - let's not ask about the mobile hospitals or why there have been no beds added to hospitals in teh past two years:
 

Ottawa allocated $300-million at the beginning of the pandemic for the construction of 15 mobile hospitals, but only four 100-bed units have been completed and they are sitting in storage despite the strain on hospitals caused by Omicron across the country.

The federal government gave a sole-sourced contract of up to $150-million to a joint venture between SNC-Lavalin and Pacific Architects and Engineers (SNC-PAE) in April, 2020, to build five mobile respiratory-care hospitals that can be set up in existing structures such as conference centres and indoor skating arenas.

A similar multimillion-dollar contract went to Weatherhaven Global Resources Ltd. for 10 stand-alone field hospitals that can be deployed either in urban or remote areas.

So far, Weatherhaven has delivered three units and none of them are currently in use, according to the office of federal Health Minister Jean-Yves Duclos.

Two of those units were deployed early last year for several months at Toronto’s Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre and Hamilton Health Sciences hospital network. In October of last year, an oxygen concentrator from one of Weatherhaven’s units was shipped to the Northwest Territories to handle an influx of COVID-19 patients in intensive care.

Since the contracts were awarded, SNC-PAE has received $71-million in payment from the federal government and delivered one mobile hospital unit, which is also sitting in a warehouse in Ottawa and has never been deployed. The money has also been spent on specialized medical equipment for use by the government, according to SNC-Lavalin.

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Canada also ranks near the back of the pack in overall hospital beds. The latest numbers from the OECD show Canada with just one hospital bed for every 400 citizens , a ratio that put us in the bottom tier of OECD countries. In France, there’s a hospital bed for every 172 citizens, and in Japan (the first place contender) there’s a bed for every 78 people.


 

 
This is the same China that denies anything horrid happened at Tienanmen Square, too:
 

The Chinese regime has likely understated the COVID-19 death rate by as much as 17,000 percent in a systematic data suppression campaign to sustain its political image, according to a U.S. analyst.

That would put the number of COVID-19 deaths in China at around 1.7 million rather than 4,636, the two-year cumulative death figure that the Chinese authorities have maintained on the books. That’s 366 times the official figure.

Those findings made by George Calhoun, director of the quantitative finance program at Stevens Institute of Technology, were based on data as of January generated by a model developed by The Economist.

A vast majority of China’s officially recorded deaths came from Wuhan during the first three months of the pandemic, with only hundreds more reported in the rest of the country.

The Chinese regime only reported two additional deaths since April 1, 2020, ranking China as having the world’s lowest COVID-19 death rate, which Zhong Nanshan, the Chinese epidemiologist overseeing China’s outbreak response, boasted about just last week.

But that jaw-dropping data point—hundreds of times lower than that of America, gave Calhoun pause.

“That’s impossible. It’s medically impossible, it’s statistically impossible,” Calhoun told NTD, an affiliate of The Epoch Times.

 

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